Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.000985 1.127548e-03 0.001272 0.001428 0.001593 0.001760 0.001942
2025-06-15 0.000812 1.019090e-03 0.001237 0.001479 0.001741 0.002013 0.002315
2025-06-22 0.000621 8.673387e-04 0.001137 0.001447 0.001789 0.002152 0.002561
2025-06-29 0.000492 7.692686e-04 0.001084 0.001456 0.001876 0.002327 0.002842
2025-07-06 0.000438 7.496533e-04 0.001115 0.001555 0.002058 0.002604 0.003232
2025-07-13 0.000329 6.495805e-04 0.001043 0.001529 0.002096 0.002718 0.003442
2025-07-20 0.000225 5.406967e-04 0.000950 0.001472 0.002091 0.002781 0.003592
2025-07-27 0.000179 5.033882e-04 0.000941 0.001511 0.002196 0.002964 0.003872
2025-08-03 0.000123 4.396982e-04 0.000892 0.001498 0.002235 0.003071 0.004065
2025-08-10 0.000061 3.459144e-04 0.000795 0.001417 0.002191 0.003078 0.004142
2025-08-17 0.000028 2.872459e-04 0.000739 0.001385 0.002200 0.003145 0.004285
2025-08-24 0.000003 2.117737e-04 0.000648 0.001301 0.002144 0.003133 0.004334
2025-08-31 NaN 1.580925e-04 0.000594 0.001281 0.002186 0.003260 0.004574
2025-09-07 NaN 1.365640e-04 0.000592 0.001332 0.002319 0.003498 0.004947
2025-09-14 NaN 9.057700e-05 0.000535 0.001302 0.002349 0.003614 0.005179
2025-09-21 NaN 6.394481e-05 0.000507 0.001312 0.002429 0.003789 0.005481
2025-09-28 NaN 6.263011e-05 0.000536 0.001407 0.002619 0.004098 0.005941
2025-10-05 NaN 3.480898e-05 0.000488 0.001383 0.002653 0.004216 0.006175
2025-10-12 NaN 1.083432e-05 0.000425 0.001328 0.002642 0.004279 0.006342
2025-10-19 NaN 5.384720e-06 0.000421 0.001366 0.002755 0.004491 0.006685
2025-10-26 NaN 5.170601e-08 0.000387 0.001353 0.002797 0.004616 0.006923
2025-11-02 NaN NaN 0.000320 0.001276 0.002748 0.004625 0.007022
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.000283 0.001245 0.002760 0.004708 0.007208